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Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 net sales were $3.82B, down 8.0% YoY, with gross margin at 32.3% and adjusted EBITDA of $493.6M; margins reflected ongoing normalization in Single-Family and Multi-Family, while acquisitions and one extra selling day partially offset core organic declines .
- GAAP diluted EPS was $1.65 vs $2.83 prior year; adjusted diluted EPS was $2.31 vs $3.55, largely driven by lower gross profit and reduced operating leverage; adjusted SG&A fell to $764.2M as the company flexed costs .
- Management introduced FY 2025 guidance: net sales $16.5–$17.5B, gross margin 30–32%, adjusted EBITDA $1.9–$2.3B, adjusted EBITDA margin 11.5–13.0%, and FCF $0.6–$1.0B; additionally provided rare Q1 2025 ranges given weather/wildfire impacts (net sales $3.5–$3.8B; adjusted EBITDA $350–$400M) .
- Strategic actions: delivered $13M Q4 productivity savings ($117M FY), repurchased ~2.0M shares for ~$345M in Q4, and agreed to acquire Alpine Lumber (TTM sales ~$500M), bolstering value-added/install capacity and geographic reach—key catalysts into 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Value-added mix remained ~50% of net sales in Q4, supporting margin profile despite demand headwinds; install sales grew 8% YoY in 2024 as BFS addressed on-site skilled labor constraints .
- Operational excellence delivered ~$13M Q4 productivity savings and ~$117M for FY 2024, including manufacturing efficiency gains (e.g., board foot per labor hour +10%) .
- Digital platform adoption advanced, with ~$975M orders and $134M incremental digital sales in 2024; management targets ~$$200M additional incremental digital revenue in 2025 ("go slow to go fast" reset to accelerate adoption) .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin fell 300 bps YoY to 32.3% due to margin normalization in Single-Family and Multi-Family; adjusted EBITDA margin compressed 360 bps to 12.9% on reduced operating leverage .
- End-markets remained soft: Multi-Family core organic sales down 29.1% and Single-Family down 6.8%; value-added categories saw declines tied to lower multi-family truss volumes and vendor price reductions in windows/doors .
- CFO flagged Q1 2025 disruption from severe weather and California wildfires (~$80M lost sales quarter-to-date), plus one fewer selling day; lingering wildfire impacts expected to last beyond Q1 .
Financial Results
YoY change highlights (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023):
- Net sales: −8.0% .
- Gross margin: −300 bps to 32.3% .
- Net income: −45.8% (EPS $1.65 vs $2.83) .
- Adjusted EBITDA: −28.0% (margin −360 bps to 12.9%) .
Segment/Product Category Breakdown (Q4):
KPIs and Balance Sheet (Q4 2024):
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO Peter Jackson: “By continuing to invest in our value-added solutions and our installation business, along with leveraging cutting-edge technology, we are addressing customer challenges and serving as the supplier of choice” .
- CFO Pete Beckmann: “Adjusted EPS was $2.31, a decrease of 35%... share repurchases... added roughly $0.15 per share for the fourth quarter. We... guide net sales in the range of $16.5 billion to $17.5 billion... adjusted EBITDA... $1.9 billion to $2.3 billion” .
- CEO on competitive dynamics: “We think what we’ve laid out is a plan that allows us... to protect our share... but to still demonstrate... a very healthy margin profile overall” .
- CFO on Q1 color: “We expect Q1 net sales to be between $3.5 billion and $3.8 billion... lost sales of approximately $80 million due to extreme weather... California wildfires will likely take much longer to recover” .
Q&A Highlights
- Gross margin trajectory: Exit velocity ~31.5% with seasonal and competitive pressure expected in Q1; full-year 2025 gross margin guided 30–32% .
- Competitive share vs price: Post-COVID “normalization” waves across categories; BFS walked from some commodity share previously but feels positioned to defend and selectively grow, especially in install and value-added .
- Tariffs/immigration: Imports ~13–15% of purchasing; higher tariffs could lift commodity prices and constrain starts; install/value-added could offset skilled labor shortages, but severe labor policy impacts would be net negative for affordability .
- Multi-Family headwind: $400–$500M YoY sales headwind front-half weighted in 2025; current volumes stable sequentially but tough comps .
- Working capital/FCF: ~$500M working capital swing in 2025 tied to moving from shrinking to growing sales; FCF higher-than-expected in 2024 with ~$200M pulled forward .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus (EPS/revenue/EBITDA) was unavailable at time of request due to provider rate limits; therefore, beats/misses vs Wall Street estimates cannot be determined in this recap. We default to S&P Global for consensus estimates when available and will update when access is restored.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin normalization continued in Q4 (GM 32.3%; Adj. EBITDA margin 12.9%), but value-added mix ~50% and cost flex preserved profitability; watch for 2025 margin discipline in a flat Single-Family and down mid-teens Multi-Family backdrop .
- FY 2025 guide points to lower EBITDA vs 2024 ($1.9–$2.3B vs $2.33B actual), reflecting macro softness, higher capex/interest, and a working capital headwind; Q1 weather/wildfire color suggests a soft start .
- Operational excellence remains an offset: ~$117M FY productivity savings in 2024 with a $70–$90M target for 2025; monitor manufacturing/supply chain initiatives for incremental margin support .
- Strategic M&A (Alpine Lumber; ~$500M TTM sales) and install expansion underpin value-added growth and market reach; integration execution is a near-term catalyst .
- Digital platform is progressing (orders ~$975M; $134M incremental sales), with a refined adoption strategy and ~$200M incremental 2025 target; successful ramp would be a medium-term organic growth driver .
- Capital allocation remains shareholder-friendly: Q4 repurchases ~$345M; ~$500M authorization remaining; net leverage ~1.5x with ~7-year weighted average debt maturity .
- Trading lens: absent consensus comparisons, price reaction should hinge on forward guide, margin credibility at 30–32%, and visibility on Q1 disruption recovery; watch tariff/immigration developments for commodity/starts sensitivity .
Footnote: *S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus estimates were not accessible during this session due to provider rate limits; we will update beats/misses once data access resumes.