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Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 net sales were $3.82B, down 8.0% YoY, with gross margin at 32.3% and adjusted EBITDA of $493.6M; margins reflected ongoing normalization in Single-Family and Multi-Family, while acquisitions and one extra selling day partially offset core organic declines .
  • GAAP diluted EPS was $1.65 vs $2.83 prior year; adjusted diluted EPS was $2.31 vs $3.55, largely driven by lower gross profit and reduced operating leverage; adjusted SG&A fell to $764.2M as the company flexed costs .
  • Management introduced FY 2025 guidance: net sales $16.5–$17.5B, gross margin 30–32%, adjusted EBITDA $1.9–$2.3B, adjusted EBITDA margin 11.5–13.0%, and FCF $0.6–$1.0B; additionally provided rare Q1 2025 ranges given weather/wildfire impacts (net sales $3.5–$3.8B; adjusted EBITDA $350–$400M) .
  • Strategic actions: delivered $13M Q4 productivity savings ($117M FY), repurchased ~2.0M shares for ~$345M in Q4, and agreed to acquire Alpine Lumber (TTM sales ~$500M), bolstering value-added/install capacity and geographic reach—key catalysts into 2025 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Value-added mix remained ~50% of net sales in Q4, supporting margin profile despite demand headwinds; install sales grew 8% YoY in 2024 as BFS addressed on-site skilled labor constraints .
  • Operational excellence delivered ~$13M Q4 productivity savings and ~$117M for FY 2024, including manufacturing efficiency gains (e.g., board foot per labor hour +10%) .
  • Digital platform adoption advanced, with ~$975M orders and $134M incremental digital sales in 2024; management targets ~$$200M additional incremental digital revenue in 2025 ("go slow to go fast" reset to accelerate adoption) .

What Went Wrong

  • Gross margin fell 300 bps YoY to 32.3% due to margin normalization in Single-Family and Multi-Family; adjusted EBITDA margin compressed 360 bps to 12.9% on reduced operating leverage .
  • End-markets remained soft: Multi-Family core organic sales down 29.1% and Single-Family down 6.8%; value-added categories saw declines tied to lower multi-family truss volumes and vendor price reductions in windows/doors .
  • CFO flagged Q1 2025 disruption from severe weather and California wildfires (~$80M lost sales quarter-to-date), plus one fewer selling day; lingering wildfire impacts expected to last beyond Q1 .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Net Sales ($USD Billions)$4.15 $4.23 $3.82
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$2.83 $2.44 $1.65
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$3.55 $3.07 $2.31
Gross Margin (%)N/A32.8% 32.3%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$685.5 $626.5 $493.6
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)16.5% 14.8% 12.9%
Adjusted SG&A ($USD Millions)$798.7 $782.8 $764.2

YoY change highlights (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023):

  • Net sales: −8.0% .
  • Gross margin: −300 bps to 32.3% .
  • Net income: −45.8% (EPS $1.65 vs $2.83) .
  • Adjusted EBITDA: −28.0% (margin −360 bps to 12.9%) .

Segment/Product Category Breakdown (Q4):

Product CategoryQ4 2023 Net Sales ($MM)Q4 2023 % of SalesQ4 2024 Net Sales ($MM)Q4 2024 % of Sales
Manufactured Products$1,108.6 26.7% $899.6 23.6%
Windows, Doors & Millwork$1,046.8 25.2% $997.8 26.1%
Specialty Building Products & Services$954.2 23.0% $966.2 25.3%
Lumber & Lumber Sheet Goods$1,041.3 25.1% $956.7 25.0%
Total$4,150.9 100.0% $3,820.3 100.0%

KPIs and Balance Sheet (Q4 2024):

KPIQ4 2024
Cash from Operations ($MM)$373.5
Free Cash Flow ($MM)$277.3
Capital Expenditures, net of proceeds ($MM)$96.2
Liquidity ($B)~$1.8 (ABL $1.6B + cash $0.2B)
Net Debt ($B)~$3.6
Net Leverage (Net Debt/LTM Adj. EBITDA)1.5x
Interest Expense ($MM)$53.1
Effective Tax Rate (Q4)24.2%
Adjusted SG&A ($MM)$764.2
Weighted Avg Diluted Shares (000s)115,598
Value-Added Mix (Q4)~50%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net SalesFY 2025N/A$16.5–$17.5B Introduced FY outlook
Gross MarginFY 2025N/A30–32% Introduced FY outlook
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025N/A$1.9–$2.3B Introduced FY outlook
Adjusted EBITDA MarginFY 2025N/A11.5–13.0% Introduced FY outlook
Free Cash FlowFY 2025N/A$0.6–$1.0B (at $380–$430/mbf) Introduced FY outlook
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025N/A$350–$450M Introduced FY outlook
Interest ExpenseFY 2025N/A$250–$270M Introduced FY outlook
Effective Tax RateFY 2025N/A23–25% Introduced FY outlook
D&AFY 2025N/A$550–$600M Introduced FY outlook
Selling DaysFY 2025N/AOne fewer day vs 2024 Introduced FY assumption
Productivity SavingsFY 2025N/A$70–$90M Introduced FY outlook
Net SalesQ1 2025N/A$3.5–$3.8B (weather/wildfire color) One-time quarterly color
Adjusted EBITDAQ1 2025N/A$350–$400M One-time quarterly color

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 2024 (Prior-2)Q3 2024 (Prior-1)Q4 2024 (Current)Trend
Digital/Technology initiativesEmphasis on industry-leading digital platform; continued investment despite affordability challenges Strategy pillars include investing in digital solutions; disciplined capital allocation ~$975M orders; $134M incremental digital sales in 2024; reset adoption approach; target ~$200M incremental in 2025 Building but slower-than-hoped adoption; focused acceleration
Supply chain & productivity$37M Q2 savings; YTD $77M $27M Q3; YTD $104M ~$13M Q4; FY ~$117M; +10% board foot per labor hour efficiency Sustained but moderating quarterly cadence; accumulating FY impact
Tariffs/MacroAffordability challenges noted Choppy housing market; reduced value per start Potential tariff/immigration risks; ~13–15% of purchasing is imports; higher tariffs could lift commodity prices and pressure starts Macro/policy uncertainty elevated; cautious stance
Product performanceValue-added mix supported margins; Multi-Family headwinds Value-added margin strength; Multi-Family down 30.9% Value-added core organic −13%; manufactured −17%; windows/doors −8%; lumber −4% Normalization across categories; value-added still premium
Regional trendsNot detailedNot detailedBuilder behavior modulated by market; inventory and rate buy-downs vary by locale Market-specific pacing; no explicit regional winners/laggards
Regulatory/LegalNone highlightedNone highlightedBoard appointments deepen e-commerce/digital expertise Strengthening digital governance
R&D/ERP executionERP not highlightedNot highlightedERP pilots later in 2025; phased implementation through 2027 Execution roadmap defined

Management Commentary

  • CEO Peter Jackson: “By continuing to invest in our value-added solutions and our installation business, along with leveraging cutting-edge technology, we are addressing customer challenges and serving as the supplier of choice” .
  • CFO Pete Beckmann: “Adjusted EPS was $2.31, a decrease of 35%... share repurchases... added roughly $0.15 per share for the fourth quarter. We... guide net sales in the range of $16.5 billion to $17.5 billion... adjusted EBITDA... $1.9 billion to $2.3 billion” .
  • CEO on competitive dynamics: “We think what we’ve laid out is a plan that allows us... to protect our share... but to still demonstrate... a very healthy margin profile overall” .
  • CFO on Q1 color: “We expect Q1 net sales to be between $3.5 billion and $3.8 billion... lost sales of approximately $80 million due to extreme weather... California wildfires will likely take much longer to recover” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Gross margin trajectory: Exit velocity ~31.5% with seasonal and competitive pressure expected in Q1; full-year 2025 gross margin guided 30–32% .
  • Competitive share vs price: Post-COVID “normalization” waves across categories; BFS walked from some commodity share previously but feels positioned to defend and selectively grow, especially in install and value-added .
  • Tariffs/immigration: Imports ~13–15% of purchasing; higher tariffs could lift commodity prices and constrain starts; install/value-added could offset skilled labor shortages, but severe labor policy impacts would be net negative for affordability .
  • Multi-Family headwind: $400–$500M YoY sales headwind front-half weighted in 2025; current volumes stable sequentially but tough comps .
  • Working capital/FCF: ~$500M working capital swing in 2025 tied to moving from shrinking to growing sales; FCF higher-than-expected in 2024 with ~$200M pulled forward .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus (EPS/revenue/EBITDA) was unavailable at time of request due to provider rate limits; therefore, beats/misses vs Wall Street estimates cannot be determined in this recap. We default to S&P Global for consensus estimates when available and will update when access is restored.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin normalization continued in Q4 (GM 32.3%; Adj. EBITDA margin 12.9%), but value-added mix ~50% and cost flex preserved profitability; watch for 2025 margin discipline in a flat Single-Family and down mid-teens Multi-Family backdrop .
  • FY 2025 guide points to lower EBITDA vs 2024 ($1.9–$2.3B vs $2.33B actual), reflecting macro softness, higher capex/interest, and a working capital headwind; Q1 weather/wildfire color suggests a soft start .
  • Operational excellence remains an offset: ~$117M FY productivity savings in 2024 with a $70–$90M target for 2025; monitor manufacturing/supply chain initiatives for incremental margin support .
  • Strategic M&A (Alpine Lumber; ~$500M TTM sales) and install expansion underpin value-added growth and market reach; integration execution is a near-term catalyst .
  • Digital platform is progressing (orders ~$975M; $134M incremental sales), with a refined adoption strategy and ~$200M incremental 2025 target; successful ramp would be a medium-term organic growth driver .
  • Capital allocation remains shareholder-friendly: Q4 repurchases ~$345M; ~$500M authorization remaining; net leverage ~1.5x with ~7-year weighted average debt maturity .
  • Trading lens: absent consensus comparisons, price reaction should hinge on forward guide, margin credibility at 30–32%, and visibility on Q1 disruption recovery; watch tariff/immigration developments for commodity/starts sensitivity .

Footnote: *S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus estimates were not accessible during this session due to provider rate limits; we will update beats/misses once data access resumes.